The latest modeling continues to indicate that a winter storm will impact the region in the Sunday to Monday timeframe. The timing of the start of snow still varies on the models from mid-day Sunday to early Sunday evening. In regards to totals there is still high variability as well. For now I’m sticking with the 3-6/4-8 idea. However, this is subject to change depending on track and evolution of the storm which continues to vary from run to run of the models.
I should note that the NAM 18z run just came in showing only 1-2 inches in the area. As of now the NAM is an outlier, with no other model supporting its solution. This does show that anything is still on the table, but with a gun to my head I would not rely on the NAM as the model to make a final call.
One piece of good news: After the storm passes through next week looks to warm up, which means any snow that does fall will melt relatively quickly.
I plan on posting further updates this weekend to keep everyone updated.