Tracking Uncertainty: Snowstorm Forecasts Still Evolving for Wednesday-Thursday Storm

As of this afternoon, there’s still no clear consensus across the models regarding the snowstorm potential from Wednesday evening into Thursday. At a minimum, we’re expecting a light to moderate snow event across the region. However, there’s significant variability in the model projections for how the storm will evolve.

Until this afternoon, the European model (Euro) had been forecasting an all-out blizzard. But the latest Euro run shifted significantly southward, deviating from previous predictions.

On the other hand, the American model (GFS) has trended toward a stronger storm, suggesting a more impactful event for our area. The UKMET and ICON models are also showing a stronger storm scenario.

Given the complexity of the setup, it’s likely we won’t have clearer guidance until at least tomorrow night, if not Monday. The atmosphere is in a delicate balance, and this could lead to a range of potential outcomes, from light snow to more significant impacts.

Stay tuned as we continue to monitor this evolving storm.

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