Just a quick update: So far both the NAM and the RGEM have come in slightly south and east of their previous runs, additionally, the HRRR at the end of it’s run is leaning towards the further south and east models. What this means for us is that the mid to higher range of the totals may be more likely. Right now the rain/snow battle ground may set up somewhere around the Southern State or Hempstead Turnpike in Nassau and Queens, while most of Suffolk will likely change to all rain for some time. As of right now I expect all of Suffolk and parts of Nassau to rain and/or sleet for parts of tomorrow morning before flipping to snow by the early afternoon. Manhattan, Brooklyn, and Queens may stay more snow or only mix slightly. If you’re North of the Southern state in Nassau and Queens, I’d expect 4-8″ with the chance for more, South of these roads expect 2-5″. Western Suffolk 3-6″ and Eastern Suffolk 0-3″. Brooklyn and Manhattan you may approach a foot depending on banding.
For this event, expect the worst but hope for the best. A 25-30 mile shift in the storm track will make a significant difference in snowfall totals.
A special shout out to NeuLion. Apologies that I couldn’t be more specific earlier.
