For all those looking for a significant to major snowstorm for our area, it looks like you’re getting your wish. This mornings and early afternoons models are in and they ALL trended stronger. There is still plenty of room for the storm to trend stronger as well. Remember when I mentioned the pieces of energy being outside of good data sampling and how that could have an impact? Well that is coming to fruition, as the pieces of energy are being better sampled the models are now shifting, and I don’t think those shifts are done yet.
What does all this mean? It means that we’re safely in the window for a 6-12″ snow storm, with the potential to possibly go higher (which I’d put at 40-50% right now). The storm will start as some light rain early Thursday morning and switch over to snow before sunrise. The storm will continue until mid-day Thursday. While it will not be super long duration, while it is snowing we may see snowfall rates in excess of 2-3″ an hour, which would certainly cause whiteout conditions.
Below is the latest map from the EURO. The Euro is at the top end of the guidance window for snowfall, but it seems reasonable based on the trends of this morning and afternoon.
NAM from this morning which has been trending stronger as well:
Thanks for watching Niko for us Goldberg. Keep your eyes on the skies. ❄️❄️