So many of you are probably asking what the heck happened with all the forecasts busting? Well, the answer is mother nature will do what she wants to do. In this case, the low tracked further West than anyone expected. The low was about 25-50 miles further West than was expected, which in the case of today was the difference between a 12-18″ blizzard and a snow/sleet fest. There were some hints of this potential last night on the NAM, but it had little support from other models. The RGEM lent it some credence but not enough to believe that the storm would unfold like it has today.
At this point, we can expect Sleet/Snow and possibly Rain for the rest of the morning. The precipitation should begin to end around 1 or 2PM this afternoon. While the snow-depth will not be what we expected, the sleet that has been falling for hours will make conditions just as if not more treacherous. Also, be careful while shoveling, the depth of the snow/sleet will be deceiving compared to the weight.