Summary: Tropical Storm Hermine is forecast make landfall in Florida and then track up the coast over the next few days. There is a possibility that Hermine will have a significant impact on our region with strong winds and heavy rain beginning late Saturday night.
Details:
Many of you may have already heard, but there is a Tropical Storm in the Gulf of Mexico named Hermine. Hermine is forecast to become a weak Category 1 hurricane before making landfall somewhere along the Northwest Coast of Florida.
Once Hermine makes landfall, models are coming in to agreement that the storm will come up the East Coast. There is some disagreement still where Hermine will track up the coast. BUT many models are starting to show (GFS, GGEM, GEFS, EURO) Hermine tracking up the coast close to our area. The specifics are not anywhere close being nailed down. At this point, I’d strongly advise everyone to keep an eye out and I’ll be starting to provide updates on Hermine.
If the models that bring Hermine close to the coast are to be believed, we will start feeling the effects of Hermine late Saturday night/early Sunday morning. From there, our region could experience heavy rains of 2-3″ or more and winds in excess of 40 or 50mph. I will caution though that this is subject to significant change. We won’t likely know for sure what to expect with any confidence until late Friday or Saturday morning the earliest.
GFS of what Hermine could potentially bring to the region (Subject to significant change):
