Looking at the upcoming modeling it looks like the next few days will be relatively calm. There is a chance of some light snow flurries Friday night into early Saturday morning. Based on current modeling, this will be no more than mood flakes
Moving forward, the weekend looks relatively dry with only a chance of some scattered light rain. Early next week is when things begin to get interesting. First, models are showing a clipper move through the area Monday morning with some light rain.
Once the Monday event passes, we get to the big question mark for the Tuesday/Wednesday/Thursday time period. For this period, all the models are showing a storm signal. However, they are not in agreement as to what this will mean for us on Long Island. Currently there are two camps, one showing the storm moving inland and giving us an all rain event. However, the Euro and to some extent the UKMET are showing the storm track offshore and the strong possibility of a snow storm. There is high uncertainty at this time regarding the track, and the storm will need to be watched. At this point in time, I would say 60/40 leaning towards a rain event. However, as we know things can change significantly over a week in the weather world. Stay tuned…
Euro:
GFS:
